80. Will at least one ACX post get more than 300 likes by the end of 2022?

13

9

Ṁ1.3K

Ṁ140

resolved Feb 1

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/every-bay-area-house-party Already got 500 likes. This market should resolve YES.

predicted YES

Idol Words, Bounded Distrust, and There's a Time For Everyone are all also over 300 likes.

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Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on Cinco de Mayo?

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Related questions

Will I like the ACX Book Review Contest 2024 winners? (Didn't like 2023, liked pre-2023)

In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?

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What will be the highest like count of any ACX post in 2024?

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