MANIFOLD
What will be my fastest mile this track season
4
Ṁ150Ṁ651
Jun 2
89%
Sub 5:35
69%
Sub 5:30
23%
Sub 5:15
Resolved
YES
Sub 5:45
Resolved
YES
Sub 6:00
Resolved
YES
Sub 5:40

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on the fastest mile time I run during the current track season. Resolution will be determined using the official race results from sanctioned track meets.

If I run a mile faster than a listed threshold, that market resolves YES. For example, if I run a 5:43.24 mile, the markets for Sub 6:00 and Sub 5:45 would resolve YES.

Any markets with thresholds faster than my best time will remain open until either:

  • I run a faster time that meets the threshold, or

  • the track season ends.

If I run a time exactly equal to a threshold (for example 5:40.00 for a Sub 5:40 market), that market does not resolve YES based on that race. The time must be strictly faster than the threshold.

Context

I am a high school boy, and I have never run track and field before. Last semester I ran cross country. I haven't ever ran a mile time trial. My 2 mile time trial in November was 12:25. I am a little out of shape so my 2 mile time trial on February 9th was 12:42. I have lots of friends on my team, I run around 20 miles a week, and I track is not my top extracurricular.

Race schedule and results

Most of the schedule isn't finalized, but I will give the dates of upcoming races and my times for past races here:

3/7/26: 5:48.21

3/11/26: 5:39.67

3/20/26: 5:36.25

3/26/26: 5:37.86

You may ask non personal questions in the comments.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy