This market predicts whether the number of unique participants (traders) on this specific prediction market will exceed 30 by October 8th, 2025, one day before the final deadline.

In 2025, Manifold Markets has seen varying levels of participation across different markets, with an average of approximately 10-30 participants per market for standard topics. This market serves as a leading indicator for the main question about reaching 50 participants.

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to YES if the number of unique traders (participants who have placed at least one bet) exceeds 30 by 11:59 PM PT on October 8th, 2025. The count will be based on Manifold's official participant statistics for this market.