Resolves YES if >= 10 people have the same amount of YES shares. | Manifold Markets

Resolves YES if >= 10 people have the same amount of YES shares.

Apr 6

92

95%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

the title is pretty self explanitory tbh, measured at the time of closing.

note: shares of YES count only (If 9 people have the same amount of yes shares and 1 person has that amount of no shares, that resolves no).

>= (greater than OR equal to).

resolves no if does not meet requirements

Sort by:

Daniel Balchevbought Ṁ50 of YES

There are 12 people with 18 yes shares @8

Jim Haysis predicting YES at 93%

@DanielBalchev Unclear if they mean ever, or at time of market close

Daniel Balchevis predicting YES at 93%

@JimHays I saw now it’s at market close 😅

MTbought Ṁ5 of YES

Schelling point is 100 shares

MTsold Ṁ78 of YES

@Meg or maybe 18. Who knows.

Joshuabought Ṁ92 of YES

@Meg I will not sell my 100 YES shares no matter what

miscatulatedbought Ṁ100 of YES

Related markets

This market resolves as YES if someone has >= 5k NO shares50%

Will every person who holds YES, measured at the time of closing, have >= 150 YES shares?5%

This market has a 10% chance of resolving to YES. Otherwise it resolves N/A.93%

Market resolves to NO unless someone has > 200k YES shares57%

This market resolves YES with 0.1% probability.1%

This market resolves YES with 1% probability.2%

Related markets

This market resolves as YES if someone has >= 5k NO shares50%

Will every person who holds YES, measured at the time of closing, have >= 150 YES shares?5%

This market has a 10% chance of resolving to YES. Otherwise it resolves N/A.93%

Market resolves to NO unless someone has > 200k YES shares57%

This market resolves YES with 0.1% probability.1%

This market resolves YES with 1% probability.2%