(Resolves as YES, just some more bot testing, free interest rates).
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@8 Please pretend I’m a brainlet. (should be easy) I see that previous markets like this exploited a bug in bot programming, but I don’t understand exactly how the exploit works. Would you please explain it?
@8 for some bots whenever there is a large bet that moves the market away from its steady position by more than a few percentage points, it triggers them to take bet in the opposite direction to correct a potential mispricing. For others when there's an influx of people quickly buying in the same direction, they bet in the same direction.
For bots to lose in this case, you first make the market have a steady state - a price it stayed at for >15 mins (an example) then suddenly make one large move in a direction that moves the market by more than say 3-5 points (depends on the market also, 2% of one market could be a lot more than 30 of another)
@firstuserhere in this market I'd suspect a NO bet would move the market by a decent amount when it's at a steady state for a while and trigger the bot (michael's lab one)
@firstuserhere @8 as i mentioned above in the exploit market, frame the question that way "Will [EVENT] happen by [DATE]" . Source -https://github.com/mwhea/Manifold_Trading_Bots