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MANIFOLD
What will be true about the last digit of the expected value of this market after close?
13
Ṁ225Ṁ337
resolved Mar 29
Resolved
~3.50 (no units)
Resolved
YES
≥ 1
Resolved
YES
≥ 2
Resolved
YES
≥ 3
Resolved
NO
≥ 4
Resolved
NO
≥ 5
Resolved
NO
≥ 6
Resolved
NO
≥ 7
Resolved
NO
≥ 8
Resolved
NO
≥ 9

For example:

  • If the final expected value is 6.8, the last digit is 8

  • If the final expected value is 1.0, the last digit is 0, but if it is displayed as 1, the last digit is 1.

The resolution will be determined by examining the official expected value as displayed by Manifold after market close.

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opened a Ṁ5 NO at 58% order

reposted

Did not expect it to show more than tenths. Hundredths are of course much more volatile than planned. 😆