Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?
➕
Plus
56
Ṁ12k
resolved Dec 18
Resolved
YES
233 or more
Resolved
YES
269 or more
Resolved
YES
270 or more
Resolved
YES
303 or more
Resolved
YES
272
Resolved
NO
330 or more
Resolved
NO
More than 266 but less than 270 (ie, close enough that the 2020 census errors swing the election)

Feel free to add answers! I will interpret a bare number like "250" as "250 or more".

If Trump is not the Republican nominee, this question will be about the Republican presidential candidate instead.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual Electoral College votes, not electors' pledges. Unfaithful electors may impact the outcome.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Every market <=312 should settle YES, the 266-270 market should settle NO.

@NicholasCharette73b6 We have to wait for the Electoral College to vote, since there could be unfaithful electors.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules