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MANIFOLD
Resurgence or Consolidation? Where will the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) close at the end of June?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ89
resolved Jul 1
100%21%
Greater than 99.83 - toward the psychological 100
8%
Less than 98.49 - Bearish Breakdown
21%
98.49 to 99.16 - holds steady near current levels
49%
99.16 to 99.83 - Bullish Resurgence

As we enter June 2026, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is locked in a critical decision zone.

While the dollar has pulled back from its March highs, sticky inflation data (PPI accelerating at

6.0% YoY) and structural shifts—including Kevin Warsh taking over as Fed Chair—are forcing

speculators to rethink when interest rate cuts will realistically happen. Meanwhile, elevated

crude oil prices and Middle East trade chokepoints have asset managers pushing net-long

dollar exposure to 15-month highs.

Will the dollar experience a bearish breakdown, or will it break past the psychological

100 barrier?

### Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the "CLOSE" price of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)

reported for the final trading day of June 2026 on the official Wall Street Journal

Market Data historical prices tracker:

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/DXY/historical-prices

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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) according to wsj.com :

DATE OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE

06/30/26 101.12 101.43 101.05 101.19