If either are released under a Toyota brand/subsidiary it counts (e.g. Lexus MR2). Announced at the same time means they are announced within 24 hours of each other. To qualify as being announced, there must be at least one official non-teaser image (i.e. not a silhouette or blurry shot) of the car published by Toyota themselves, confirmation of development doesn't count.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on which of the two sports car nameplates—the Toyota Celica or the Toyota MR2—is officially announced first, whether they are announced at the same time, or if neither is announced by the end of 2030.

• Definition of "Announced": To qualify as "announced," there must be an official press release or media update published directly by Toyota Motor Corporation or one of its official brand subsidiaries (e.g., Lexus, Gazoo Racing). This announcement must include at least one official, non-teaser image of the vehicle (e.g., no silhouettes, blacked-out shadows, highly blurred/shrouded mockups, or heavily camo-wrapped test mules).

• Exclusions: Simple confirmations of development, nameplate trademark filings, unofficial leaks, speculative concept cars without a production commitment, and prototype test drives do not qualify as an announcement.

• Brand/Subsidiary Scope: If either nameplate is announced under a Toyota brand or subsidiary (e.g., a "Lexus MR2" or "GR Celica"), it will satisfy the condition for that model.

• "At the Same Time": Both models will be considered announced at the same time if the timestamps of their qualifying official announcements are within 24 hours of each other.

• Time Limit: If neither vehicle has met the announcement criteria by December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC, the market will resolve to "Neither will be announced by 2030".

Primary Sources of Truth:

• Official press releases on the Toyota Global Newsroom.

• Official regional media sites, such as the Toyota USA Newsroom.

• Official global press sites for Lexus and Gazoo Racing.

Background

Speculation surrounding the return of both the mid-engine MR2 and the iconic Celica nameplates has circulated for years. Japanese automotive media and global industry insiders have reported that Toyota has actively developed a new 2.0-liter turbocharged four-cylinder engine designed for high-performance applications. Though executives have occasionally hinted at or confirmed that development is underway, Toyota has yet to release final production-spec designs or official imagery for either vehicle. Rumors suggest that both sports cars could debut in close proximity to round out the brand's Gazoo Racing performance lineup.

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