Will Our World in Data show 100,000 daily Covid Cases in China by March?
55
1.1kṀ20k
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO

This will resolve YES if the Our World in Data COVID-19 Data Explorer shows a 7-day rolling average of at least 100,000 confirmed cases any day before March 1, 2023. Otherwise this will resolve NO. We are talking about this chart:

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?time=2022-10-26..latest&facet=none&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CHN

This will not resolve YES based on any other evidence that there are at least 100,000 cases per day, just the chart above. Should that source be unavailable, this will resolve N/A. But it really has to be utterly unavailable, like a sustained 404 response or something. Inspired by this market with somewhat unclear rules:

If there are any remaining uncertainties about the resolution criteria, please ask. I will try to clear them up as quickly and unambiguously as I can.

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