This resolves YES if Donald Trump is indicted in a federal or state case in the US between market creation and close. This excludes the cases filed June 8, 2023 and March 30, 2023. This market also excludes any sealed or otherwise secret indictments.
(Idea for the market stolen from the Salem Center Tournament)
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https://twitter.com/kyledcheney/status/1684688276488151040?s=46&t=CLaMQpGa6RBwpxLKDWuOOw This can resolve YES.
This excludes the cases filed June 8, 2023 and March 30, 2023
I would probably think that excludes superceding indictments / new charges brought in those existing cases.
@jack As I understand it the superceding indictments were filed in a different place as well? They're also specifically new indictments for additional crimes not covered by either of those; I would assume that that exclusion clause is specifically there to prevent people from jumping to incorrect conclusions between that, a failure to look at market creation time, and:
This resolves YES if Donald Trump is indicted in a federal or state case in the US between market creation and close.
Also, the Salem market resolved yes.
@Lorxus They are most definitely new charges and a new filing but in the same case, right?
The author should clarify, I don't have a stake here, just commenting that it's unclear.
The salem market has different wording: "excluding any indictments filed by the Manhattan District Attorney or the federal indictment released on June 9, 2023"
Sorry for the late reply. Honestly I didn’t anticipate a superseding indictment. But I given Trump was since indicted again on August 1 in another federal case this now seems pretty unambiguous.