IEM UDEM24_VS: Democratic share of the two-party popular vote in the 2024 Presidential election
Basic
3
Ṁ18Jan 24
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve PROB exactly like the IDEM24_VS asset traded in the Iowa Electronic Markets. See here for the detailed prospectus: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_prospectus/2024-u-s-presidential-vote-share-market/ You can see it’s current (real money) trading price here: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_market_info/pres24_vs/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
IEM UREP24_VS: Republican share of the two-party popular vote in the 2024 Presidential election
50% chance
What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?
Democrat popular vote% - Democrat Electoral college %
In which states will the Democratic Party win a larger percentage of the vote for President in 2024 than in 2020?
What share of the popular vote will the Democratic nominee for president receive in the next election?
49% chance
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
How will the 2024 election popular vote compare to the polls? (2-party, 538)
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
This market will resolve to the percent of the popular vote the democratic candidate gets in 2024
48% chance
Resolves to the percentage of the vote the Democratic candidate receives in the 2024 general election