IEM UDEM24_VS: Democratic share of the two-party popular vote in the 2024 Presidential election
2
25
Ṁ12Ṁ90
2025
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve PROB exactly like the IDEM24_VS asset traded in the Iowa Electronic Markets. See here for the detailed prospectus: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_prospectus/2024-u-s-presidential-vote-share-market/ You can see it’s current (real money) trading price here: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_market_info/pres24_vs/
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
52% chance
Will Democrats win the US 2024 elections
56% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
52% chance
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
71% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
50% chance
Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040
23% chance