Bavarian state election FDP vote share?
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27
Ṁ4940resolved Oct 9
100%88%
3% <= x < 4%
11%
< 3%
0.6%
4% <= x < 5%
0.2%
5% <= x < 6%
0.1%
6% <= x < 7%
0.1%
7% <= x
This will resolve based on the share of the total votes going to the Free Democratic Party (FDP) in the Bavarian state election on 8 October. This is about the sum of first and second votes, the main metric in the Bavarian system. I will use the preliminary results, exclude invalid votes and will not round the percentages before choosing the bucket.
If the election does not happen for some reason, I will resolve this N/A. See here for a current list of polls: https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/bayern.htm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@sarius Yes, the FDP vote share seems to be at 3.02% given table B here from here: https://www.statistik.bayern.de/mam/wahlen/landtagswahlen/b72303_vorl%C3%A4ufiges_ergebnis_lw_2023_online.pdf
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