Which team will win Super Bowl LIX?
401
3.2kṀ440k
resolved Feb 10
100%98.9%
Philadelphia Eagles
0.0%
Baltimore Ravens
0.0%
Buffalo Bills
0.0%
Dallas Cowboys
0.0%
Detroit Lions
1.1%
Kansas City Chiefs
0.0%
Miami Dolphins
0.0%
San Francisco 49ers
0.0%
Green Bay Packers
0.0%
Los Angeles Rams
0.0%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.0%
Cleveland Browns
0.0%
Houston Texans
0.0%
Pittsburgh Steelers
0.0%
Washington Commanders
0.0%
Tennessee Titans
0.0%
Seattle Seahawks
0.0%
New York Jets
0.0%
New York Giants
0.0%
New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl LIX (59) will be played on Sunday, February 9, 2025.

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@mods I got charged the 10% fee multiple times. Please advise.

@HillaryClinton The issue should be sorted out now

I thought the Chiefs/refs wouldn't be able to cheat with Trump watching, but I guess that's not so 😢

@AlQuinn things are improving; maybe Trump called Musk and threatened to audit the NFL 🏆

@AlQuinn why would Trump want Eagles to win?

@AmmonLam Trump actually predicted Chiefs would win when pressed. But Trump is one of the biggest proponent of fairness that we have, so I can imagine he would hate a game decided by the officiating!

@AmmonLam It's the Taylor Swift effect. Now supporting the Chiefs is left-coded.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 well, this game is like watching the Trump-Biden debate by analogy (except Biden was doing better than this)

@AlQuinn Touche! So are they going to replace Mahomes?

@AlQuinn last time I check, Red is the GOP color

@TimothyJohnson5c16 5 sacks...I don't think it's all Mahomes's fault. Also one of the interceptions might also have been due to him being bumped while throwing, and no Chiefs can catch a pass.

@AlQuinn sacks are mostly a QB stat. If there's been any criticism of Mahomes this year compared to last, his sack avoidance has gotten much worse from last year (especially compared to Allen/Jackson)

@StopPunting I mean, PHI is #1(?) passing defense and I don't see the offensive line giving that much time. But lol on that play where Mahommes ran around avoiding sacks only to be walked back by a penalty

@AlQuinn yeah that was sick sack avoidance on that play too be sure. There are definitely o-line and scheme elements, not just saying Mahomes has gotten worse. It's just a stark difference when you look at his game this year compared to last

Superbowl starts in 20 minutes!

We have decided we will actually try and leave this market open, however be warned it may close at any moment and will not reopen.

If you want to be sure you can live trade and sell at any point during the game you should trade on the other market: https://manifold.markets/10thOfficial/will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP--cash

Anyone place a limit at 55? I need to sell my position because the chiefs are winning. Please!

I am the largest mana holder in this market and think closing early is a terrible decision. I get this is just play money but these sorts of arbitrary changes are reflective of a lack of planning or listening to what traders want. This is going to be the last event I trade on Manifold - why would I when I know I can trade during the event on other prediction markets? I’m not selling or nuking my mana though, so it stays as a liability on the books, assuming the Chiefs win.

sold Ṁ22 NO

@MarkHamill I need to sell my mana tho since the chiefs will win

Analyze and predict accordingly.

@Predictor why is this table skipping some years?

@Bayesian May have been bye years or something, I haven’t really looked into it.

@Bayesian presumably in some years they are both traveling in the same direction?

@Ziddletwix e.g. '25 is a rematch of '23, but in '23 both teams travelled west to AZ

@Ziddletwix Guys, Chiefs are going to lose. That’s what it means, that’s the analysis and that’s where we’re at with all of this.

filled a Ṁ50 YES at 64% order

@Predictor years when the Super Bowl was a bye?

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