Resolution Criteria

The men's semifinals are scheduled for January 30, 2026. This market resolves based on which players appear in the men's singles semifinals bracket at the Australian Open. Resolution can be verified via the official Australian Open website (https://ausopen.com/) or major sports tracking sites like ESPN (https://www.espn.com/tennis/australian-open/bracket/).

Each answer resolves YES if that player reaches the semifinals, and NO if they are eliminated before that stage. The "Other" option resolves YES if player[s] not listed reaches the semifinals.

Background

The 2026 Australian Open runs from January 18 to February 1, 2026. Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner are in the same half of the draw, while Alcaraz could meet Zverev in his semifinal. Jannik Sinner is the defending men's singles champion.

Considerations

Sinner and Alcaraz have won each of the past eight majors, establishing them as heavy favorites. However, the draw structure creates distinct paths to the semifinals—the top two seeds are positioned to meet in the final if both advance, while other seeded players face varying levels of competition in their respective quarters.

Happy trading on the 1st market of the 2026 ATP season!!