When will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
31
1.3kṀ49892040
35%
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040?
30%
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2030?
24%
Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2040?
9%
Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2030?
8%
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2026?
1.5%
Conditional on resolving NO, will it resolve by the end of 2026?
1%
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2024?
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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