By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?

Question

Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date. Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).

(In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, By end of 2050, followed by By end of 2030 and By end of 2028 are most likely. See the market for live updates (18 traders, as of May 31, 2026).