Which of California's November 2024 ballot propositions will I vote YES on?
10
1kṀ1583
resolved Oct 21
Resolved
YES
Proposition 36: Increase Drug and Theft Penalties and Reduce Homelessness Initiative
Resolved
NO
Proposition 35: Creation of New Healthcare Fund Initiative
Resolved
YES
Proposition 34: Require Certain Participants in Medi-Cal Rx Program to Spend 98% of Revenues on Patient Care Initiative
Resolved
YES
Proposition 2: Public Education Facilities Bond Measure
Resolved
YES
Proposition 3: Right to Marry and Repeal Proposition 8 Amendment
Resolved
YES
Proposition 4: Parks, Environment, Energy, and Water Bond Measure
Resolved
YES
Proposition 5: Lower Supermajority Requirement to 55% for Local Bond Measures to Fund Housing and Public Infrastructure Amendment
Resolved
YES
Proposition 6: Remove Involuntary Servitude as Punishment for Crime Amendment
Resolved
NO
Proposition 32: $18 Minimum Wage Initiative
Resolved
NO
Proposition 33: Prohibit State Limitations on Local Rent Control Initiative

About my politics: I'm a registered Democrat and have been for substantially all of my adult life. I'm socially liberal and like markets, probably like many people reading this description on the Manifold Markets website. (People similar to me sometimes call themselves "neoliberal", though that word has a lot of baggage and means different things to different people.)

My intended use of this market is to solicit good arguments for or against these propositions, e.g. if you know a really good argument in favor of some proposition you can buy YES and then tell it to me. I'm not sure how much I'll be willing to tip my hand in comments, though probably at least a little.

I've set this market to resolve on election day, but I'll probably post my ballot on Substack sometime before then and resolve the market at that time. Resolution will be final even if my actual vote changes after I post my intended vote.

I will not bet on this market.

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