When Apple announced the M3 processor they primarily compared it to the M1, there were also some comparisons to the M2 but it was clear that Apple was primarily focused on advertising the relative performance to the M1.
If Apple announces an M4 will it similarly be primarily compared to the M1?
This market resolves upon the first announcement at an Apple event, and is not dependent on comparisons after that event.
If Apple releases a different line of processors to replace the M series or if it is widely believed that there will never be an M4 this market will resolve NA.
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@SkyVelleity Apple primarily compared it to the M2, there were also some comparisons to the M1 but it was clear that Apple was primarily focused on advertising the relative performance to the M2.
Please refer to the market description which specifies the primary processor used for comparison as opposed to “any” comparison made.
(Duplicate, sorry)
@zaperrer There press release today compared the M3 to the M1 and to Intel in the same sentence. "With M3, MacBook Air is up to 60 percent faster than the model with the M1 chip and up to 13x faster than the fastest Intel-based MacBook Air." How will this resolve if they do the same for M4?
@probajoelistic If they make that kind of comparison at the first Apple event for the M4 this market will resolve Yes unless they focus more on comparisons to the m2 or m3 at that event.
@probajoelistic Apple tends to compare apples to apples and tends not to focus as much on competitors so this market is mainly about which previous Apple processor will be compared to the m4. If Apple somehow primarily compares the m4 to an Intel processor and secondarily the m1 above other m series processors I would likely still resolve Yes, but will entertain arguments for No or NA in extreme cases.