Will OpenAI make GPT3.5 or 4 model weights open before 2025?
21
1kṀ5939
resolved Jan 20
Resolved
NO

OpenAI has been criticized for not being as open as the name indicated. Recently, they've released the weights of some non-LLM models on their dev day.

https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/openai-devday-predictions?r=eWs

Do you think they release their LLM weights?

  • GPT3.5 or superior models only count.

  • Modified models (such as distrilled models) are also counted if that is derived from them.

  • This resolves to YES when a public announcement of open access is made and some people outside OpenAI have known to access to the model.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ84
2Ṁ47
3Ṁ37
4Ṁ31
5Ṁ18
Sort by:

@yk resolves No

@mods resolves No

Does this resolve as YES if the weights were leaked instead of officially/voluntarily released?

@WilliamEhlhardt Good point! The subject of the title is OpenAI, so I want to stick with it. A breach itself is NO. But when later the weights are voluntarily released, then YES.

FYI, Theres already some markets for leaks.

https://manifold.markets/JaesonBooker/openai-will-have-a-model-leaked-bef?r=eWs

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules