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Will a movie be made about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?
Yoav
6
closes 2026
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves when filming begins.
Entertainment and Pop Culture
SVB Crisis
Comments
5 Positions
9 Trades
Sort by:
position
2
YES
payouts
drevv
Ṁ23
Jf P
Ṁ11
2
NO
payouts
Valentin Golev
Ṁ16
Acceleration
Bot
Ṁ2
audrey
sold Ṁ9
NO
from 44% to 47%
Acceleration
Bot
filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100
NO
at 44% (cancelled)
drevv
bought Ṁ10
YES
from 41% to 45%
Acceleration
Bot
filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100
YES
at 41% (cancelled)
Trong
sold Ṁ10
YES
from 45% to 40%
Jf P
bought Ṁ5
YES
from 42% to 45%
Trong
bought Ṁ10
YES
from 36% to 42%
Valentin Golev
bought Ṁ10
NO
from 41% to 36%
audrey
bought Ṁ10
NO
from 50% to 41%
Related markets
Yoav
Will a TV show or mini-series be made about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?
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Yoav
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77%
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Will there be reports of fraud connected to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank?
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Esben Kran
Will Silicon Valley Bank receive monetary assistance from the Fed?
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Lars Doucet
How many companies will go bankrupt as a result of the Silicon Valley Bank failure?
5
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By September 2023, will a publicly traded company announce they lost money because of Silicon Valley Bank?
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Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
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brp
Will there be any executive criminal liability for March 2023 banking failures?
6%
Alex K. Chen
Will anyone (the US government, or a large bank) bail out SVB in 2023?
81%
Gigacasting
Will there be 20 bank failures?
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Scott Lawrence
Will Scott Alexander blog about the banking crisis this year?
47%
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Will there be 100 bank failures?
8%
Brian T. Edwards
Will there be another bank run in the US during 2023?
22%
Jack
Will there be at least 20 US bank failures in 2023-2024?
13%
bessarabov
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2023?
10%
bessarabov
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2024 (in next year)?
72%
bessarabov
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2024 (in next year)?
67%
bessarabov
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2023?
10%
Related markets
Yoav
Will a TV show or mini-series be made about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?
33%
Yoav
Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?
77%
jcb
Will there be reports of fraud connected to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank?
20%
Esben Kran
Will Silicon Valley Bank receive monetary assistance from the Fed?
65%
Lars Doucet
How many companies will go bankrupt as a result of the Silicon Valley Bank failure?
5
MP
By September 2023, will a publicly traded company announce they lost money because of Silicon Valley Bank?
12%
Kevin Burke
Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
50%
Elspeth
Will Wells Fargo go bankrupt before 2030?
29%
Gigacasting
Will there be 50 bank failures?
9%
brp
Will there be any executive criminal liability for March 2023 banking failures?
6%
Alex K. Chen
Will anyone (the US government, or a large bank) bail out SVB in 2023?
81%
Gigacasting
Will there be 20 bank failures?
19%
Scott Lawrence
Will Scott Alexander blog about the banking crisis this year?
47%
Gigacasting
Will there be 100 bank failures?
8%
Brian T. Edwards
Will there be another bank run in the US during 2023?
22%
Jack
Will there be at least 20 US bank failures in 2023-2024?
13%
bessarabov
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2023?
10%
bessarabov
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2024 (in next year)?
72%
bessarabov
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2024 (in next year)?
67%
bessarabov
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2023?
10%
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