Will Lex Fridman have Eliezer Yudkowsky back on his podcast for a part 2 before the start of 2025?
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710
Dec 31
45%
chance

Straightforward question.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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This seems highly conditional on if AI will get another hype run.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

The base rate for double invites on the podcast is pretty low. Are you privy to non-public information @JamesGrugett that's a big update!

sold Ṁ122 of YES

@jgyou Nope, and I don't even remember betting Yes. Oh I think it was when I was testing the portfolio feature in a hackathon.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@JamesGrugett ... is something someone would say if they wanted to harvest dead money ;)