World Cup 2022
Manifold's 2022 FIFA World Cup forecast. Place your bets and win up to $500 USD in our tournament.
Round of 16
Will the Netherlands beat the USA?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
83%
Will Argentina beat Australia?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
81%
Will France beat Poland?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
83%
Will England beat Senegal?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
72%
Who will be Man of the Match in the Netherlands vs the USA?
Memphis Depay
23%
someone no...he answers
17%
Cody Gakpo
10%
Who will be Man of the Match in Argentina vs Australia?
Lionel Messi
37%
someone no...he answers
13%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Who will be Man of the Match in France vs Poland?
Kylian Mbappe
16%
someone no...he answers
13%
Wojciech Szczesny
13%
Who will be Man of the Match in England vs Senegal?
someone no...he answers
34%
Jude Bellingham
9%
Harry Kane
9%
Group Stage
GROUP A (1st Place)
Netherlands
99.8%
Senegal
0.1%
Ecuador
0.1%
Qatar
0.0%
39
traders
GROUP B (1st Place)
England
100.0%
USA
0.0%
Iran
0.0%
Wales
0.0%
62
traders
GROUP C (1st Place)
Argentina
91%
Poland
6%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Mexico
0.4%
82
traders
GROUP D (1st Place)
France
99.3%
Australia
0.4%
Denmark
0.2%
Tunisia
0.1%
30
traders
GROUP E (1st Place)
Japan
100.0%
Spain
0.0%
Costa Rica
0.0%
Germany
0.0%
60
traders
GROUP F (1st Place)
Morocco
72%
Croatia
27%
Belgium
1.4%
Canada
0.2%
58
traders
GROUP G (1st Place)
Brazil
100.0%
Switzerland
0.0%
Serbia
0.0%
Cameroon
0.0%
29
traders
GROUP H (1st Place)
Portugal
99.3%
Ghana
0.6%
Uruguay
0.1%
South Korea
0.1%
31
traders
Player Performance
Which player will win the Golden Boot?
Other
49%
Kylian Mbappe
38%
Lionel Messi
7%
Which player will win the Golden Ball?
Other
36%
Kylian Mbappe
29%
Lionel Messi
13%
Which goalkeeper will win the Golden Gloves?
Other
45%
Alisson Becker
22%
Hugo Lloris
20%
Which player will win the FIFA Young Player Award?
Other
43%
Gavi
23%
Bukayo Saka
11%
General markets
Which Team will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
Brazil
26%
Spain
15%
France
14%
Will any national team captain wear a rainbow LGBT armband during the game at Qatar World Cup 2022?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
5%
Will we have a Messi vs Ronaldo final?
Ṁ10
Ṁ10
5%
Will a team score 7 or more goals in a single match during the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
resolvedYES
42
traders
Sports
Will Germany reach the world cup quarterfinals in Qatar?
resolvedNO
184
traders
MiM RAS 2022
Tournament rules
Manifold is sponsoring a tournament on the 2022 World Cup with a $500 USD prize pool. Show off your soccer/football knowledge, and win real USD if you're correct.
Only markets on this page will count towards the tournament leaderboard. Visit the 2022 Fifa World Cup group to view all the other user-created World Cup markets.
A couple of new markets will be added weekly in addition to the existing collection.
Trading will cease at half-time for markets predicting the result of a match. This is to allow some live trading while ensuring users who are predicting in advance aren’t significantly disadvantaged by people who are on the site 24/7.
  1. USD prizes will be awarded to the top 5 traders on the leaderboard in proportion to profit earned in this group (excluding members of the Manifold team).

  2. Only 1 account per person can trade in this market.

  3. Don't collude with other people to inflate your or their profits.

    • E.g. don't transfer money to your friends account via betting a market artificially high/low and having them correct it.

  4. All forms of trading are allowed (including API, limit orders).

  5. Manifold reserves the right to modify rules, exclude participants, and other changes necessary to abide by the spirit of this tournament.

  6. Markets may occasionally be sourced from users, Manifold will make sure these markets are resolved correctly. If users wish to maintain full autonomy over their markets they may request their market removed from the tournament before a resolution is met.