World Cup 2022
Manifold's 2022 FIFA World Cup forecast. Place your bets and win up to $500 USD in our tournament.
Who will win the World Cup?
Will Argentina win the Fifa World Cup 22?
Will Argentina win the Fifa World Cup 22?
resolvedYES
Will France win the Fifa World Cup 22?
Will France win the Fifa World Cup 22?
resolvedNO
Player Performance
Which player will win the Golden Boot?
Which player will win the Golden Boot?
Kylian Mbappe
17%
Lionel Messi
71%
Other
12%
Which player will win the Golden Ball?
Which player will win the Golden Ball?
Lionel Messi
43%
Other
32%
Kylian Mbappe
25%
Which goalkeeper will win the Golden Gloves?
Which goalkeeper will win the Golden Gloves?
Emiliano Martinez
40%
Hugo Lloris
40%
Other
19%
Which player will win the FIFA Young Player Award?
Which player will win the FIFA Young Player Award?
Other
84%
Jude Bellingham
10%
Bukayo Saka
5%
Tournament rules
Manifold is sponsoring a tournament on the 2022 World Cup with a $500 USD prize pool. Show off your soccer/football knowledge, and win real USD if you're correct.
Only markets on this page will count towards the tournament leaderboard. Visit the 2022 Fifa World Cup group to view all the other user-created World Cup markets.
A couple of new markets will be added weekly in addition to the existing collection.
Trading will cease at half-time for markets predicting the result of a match. This is to allow some live trading while ensuring users who are predicting in advance aren’t significantly disadvantaged by people who are on the site 24/7.
  1. USD prizes will be awarded to the top 5 traders on the leaderboard in proportion to profit earned in this group (excluding members of the Manifold team).

  2. Only 1 account per person can trade in this market.

  3. Don't collude with other people to inflate your or their profits.

    • E.g. don't transfer money to your friends account via betting a market artificially high/low and having them correct it.

  4. All forms of trading are allowed (including API, limit orders).

  5. Manifold reserves the right to modify rules, exclude participants, and other changes necessary to abide by the spirit of this tournament.

  6. Markets may occasionally be sourced from users, Manifold will make sure these markets are resolved correctly. If users wish to maintain full autonomy over their markets they may request their market removed from the tournament before a resolution is met.