Against:
-At this point in time, I highly doubt I will buy any mana. I very rarely buy in app purchases.
-I'm a new user, not much experience.
For:
-I have a lot of free time at work to research and collect those little bonuses.
-I'm going to attempt to learn more about betting systems, statistics, and how Manifold works. Exciting!
-I guess someone could wire me Ṁ? This feels a bit cheaty/unlikely but not impossible.
Will resolve YES if I have Ṁ500 or more in my balance at 5PM on September 26th, 2023. Will resolve NO if I have Ṁ499 or less.
EDIT: This question will close one hour before the resolve, at 4PM September 26th.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ34 | |
| 2 | Ṁ30 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ10 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
So, this should resolve YES according to the chart of your balance at https://manifold.markets/willMay
My possibly-terrible advice: bet no more than a daily bonus in mana per day every day in the absence of a special edge or strong confidence. On markets that you feel very confident in, bet 50 mana tops. On all others, bet 10-20 mana. This minimizes your exposure to risk, and in my case, provided training wheels to prevent me from risking too much.