Resolves YES if there is conclusive evidence that the Institut für Sonderanwendungen video is actually of LK-99.
Resolves NO there is no evidence by the end of the year or there is conclusive evidence that it is not of LK-99.
I can clarify resolution criteria if needed.
Institut für Sonderanwendungen on Twitter: "Congrats on your floaty rocks. We do floaty pellets. #LK99 https://t.co/9YzRuQ8ZkK" / X
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@AdamBliss I’m glad we weren’t betting on how it was faked 😂
Diamagnetic levitation is surprising, especially since they’re saying it was a magnetic disc not a chunk of pyrolytic carbon
3D printed stand suggests it's something like this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Gu4Gx1BEIM
@KTGeorge Though it's not a perfect match because of the amount of clearance above the floating pellet, and how steady the vertical height is
It would explain why it's not aligning with the apparent magnet beneath the pellet
Assumedly the centre it's returning to is in line with the electromagnet above
@KTGeorge AH also the account mentioned Earnshaw's law, which is something that comes up a lot in instructions that explain levitating magnets with electromagnets, but not so much with magnetic locking with superconductors
A wide shot showing there's no power going into the 3D-printed stand would prove it's not this kind of levitation
How far do you go when you say "conclusive evidence"?
Will this resolve YES if they write a paper about the construction of this pellet and the paper is accepted to be true, eg. goes through peer review or the data is consistent with other replications of LK-99?
Will this resolve YES if other researchers reproduce these results using the same or a similar methodology as the one they describe?
Will this resolve YES if the researchers conducting the experiment are identified and turn out to be reputable?
@yep 1) A peer-reviewed paper from this institution generally accepted to be true would resolve YES.
1a) Honestly, a pre-print with documented synthesis steps and data about the sample, that has reputable scientists attached, I'd be very close to resolving YES. (I can't say for sure however, it'd depend on the reaction from other labs and scientists and how well regarded the lab and scientists are)
2) As far as I'm aware, they have not described their methods yet. If they do, I'd need more than just a description of the methods to resolve this question.
3) If they are identified as reputable and can also provide evidence that they have synthesized LK-99, I will resolve YES. (As long as the LK-99 they've made looks like the sample in the video)