Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if META closes above its February 2nd, 2026 closing price ($706.41) on the last trading day of February 2026. The resolution will be determined by the official closing price on Yahoo Finance or NASDAQ. If February 28 is not a trading day, the resolution uses the last trading day of February.

Background

Meta shares surged following the company's fourth-quarter earnings report but have since given up all post-earnings gains, falling about 10% from the stock's closing price on Jan. 29. The company expects full-year capital expenditures between $115 billion and $135 billion, up from about $72 billion in 2025, and guided for full-year expenses of $162 billion to $169 billion, up from about $118 billion in 2025. Meta is leveraging AI to drive revenue growth, operating leverage, and productivity, with 1Q26 revenue guidance implying a 30% YoY increase.

Considerations

The market experienced a significant pullback in early February 2026 driven by broader concerns about tech sector AI spending levels, which may create volatility throughout the month. The resolution depends on identifying the precise February 1st closing price, which traders should verify independently before market creation.

This description was generated by AI.