Resolution Criteria

The market resolves based on the closing price of SOL/USD on January 17, 2026. The current SOL price is $126.83 as of early January 2026. Resolution will be determined using major cryptocurrency exchanges such as CoinMarketCap or Coinbase, which provide real-time price data. The market resolves to whichever price bracket SOL closes within on the specified date.

Background

Solana is a highly functional open source project that banks on blockchain technology's permissionless nature to provide decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions, officially launched in March 2020 by the Solana Foundation. The protocol aims to improve scalability by introducing a proof-of-history (PoH) consensus combined with the underlying proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus of the blockchain. Solana's all time high is $294.85, which was reached on January 19, 2025.

Considerations

Price predictions for SOL in January 2026 vary significantly across analysts. One forecast projects a maximum trading value around $139.24 with a minimum of $124.06 for January 2026, while another prediction suggests SOL expected to trade in the $180–$210 range by January 31, 2026. Based on multiple technical quantitative indicators, the current forecast for Solana in 2026 is bearish. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and subject to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and broader market sentiment shifts.