Will Lex Fridman have Eliezer Yudkowsky back on his podcast for a part 2 before the start of 2025?
35
Ṁ1.2KṀ670
2024
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ21 +112.1%
New probability
48% +0.8%
Straightforward question.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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JGYbought Ṁ10 of NO
The base rate for double invites on the podcast is pretty low. Are you privy to non-public information @JamesGrugett that's a big update!
JGYbought Ṁ10 of NO
@JamesGrugett ... is something someone would say if they wanted to harvest dead money ;)
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