Will Scott mention FTX/SBF by name at least 4 times in one ACX post?
19
21
390
resolved Nov 13
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if, until close time, there appears an ACX post where in the main text, excluding links, quotes, etc. the total collective count of references by name to FTX and SBF is equal to or exceeds 4.

References by name include "FTX Trading Limited", "FTX", "Sam Bankman-Fried", "SBF", "Sam" (if clearly refers to SBF), etc. but exclude "the exchange", "the CEO", "he", "it", etc.

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predicted NO

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/open-thread-250

market creator report: I wanted to exclude a quick mention in an Open Thread, I think I did a pretty good job of that because the OT is more like a half-normal post.

I should've been more clear about what "main text" is, writing it I thought of text inside a link but the post actually has the text "FTX" in a link text ("the FTX disaster"), so that would be really unclear if the result depended on that.

predicted NO

@warty I had no idea how many times the names would appear in a real post, they appear approx. a zillion times so probably a higher number than 4 would be a better separator of quick mention vs post. Useful info for future markets using a similar condition.

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