Will the OpenRouter LLM input:output token ratio exceed 100 in June 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ65Jun 7
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve by taking the most popular model by $ volume (i.e. token volume * input token price) on OpenRouter, and considering a 7 day unweighted average of “prompt tokens divided by (output tokens + reasoning tokens)”
For example, currently, the top model by the above criteria is Sonnet 4, https://openrouter.ai/anthropic/claude-sonnet-4/activity, and the average would be about 50.
This will resolve using data from Jun 1-7 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
70% chance
When will a non-Transformer model become the top open source LLM?
Which High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
MMLU 99% #5: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2028?
44% chance
MMLU 99% #4: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2027?
8% chance