Will I start at a full time job before June 2025?
Will I start at a full time job before June 2025?
Basic
2
Ṁ20Jun 2
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES: if I accept a full-time non-temporary job, or start a company where I’m paying myself via external funding.
Resolves as NO: if I’m still unemployed, or consulting or working on a company without external funding.
Contracts that are full time and longer than 3 months in duration will resolved as YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.Related questions
Will I get a job in 2025?
55% chance
Will I have a job, a driver's license, and my own place by May 2025?
53% chance
Will I, @AiBets, get a job by 2026?
25% chance
Will I be living in the United States in June 1st 2025?
71% chance
Will I still be in my degree by end of 2025?
31% chance
Will I still be in my degree by the end of 2025?
81% chance
I get a new job by December 31st, 2025
82% chance
Will I hold for a year a normal career track job this decade?
79% chance
Will I move by end of 2025?
92% chance
Will these part-time employees of Manifold become full-time employees before 2025?