Will Nielsen acknowledge any TV program that isn't a Super Bowl or Mash as receiving >100m viewers by the start of 2030?
3
28
90
2030
43%
chance

As of February 20, 2024, every broadcast acknowledged by Nielsen Media Research as getting more than 100 million views (within the US, as Nielsen only researches the US market) has been either a Super Bowl or the finale of M*A*S*H. (There's also the Apollo 11 broadcast, but Nielsen Media Research does not support this figures - for the purposes of adjudication, them deciding to double back on this won't count.) This market asks if this will change by the end of the decade.

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