When will a government organization store classified information in a public cloud? (1000 subsidy)
16
232
1.3K
Dec 31
14%
In 2023
29%
In 2024
54%
After 2024 or never
3%
Other

Do not bet on "Other". That is an error that I don't know how to correct yet. :-)

Public cloud means that other random organizations can use the infrastructure too. So no private or community clouds.

Classified information means for example Restraint UE, NATO Restricted or similar.

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bought Ṁ50 of In 2023 YES

Also, do governments already do this? AWS handles protected data from the Australian Cyber Security Centre. Microsoft’s “classified cloud” is just an Azure hybrid cloud offering with “zero trust” authentication.

@Tik Are you sure that that's not using a separate backplane? Then it would not count. See the definition of "private" above.

But I'm open for discussion on this. That's why I made this market :-)

@uair01 Can you clarify your understanding of that? I may be a layman who’s gotten in deeper than he bargained for here.

@Tik AFAIK there exist secret clouds using public cloud technology. AWS does this for the UK secret services. Microsoft does that for US DoD. But these environments are "airgap separated" from the standard public cloud services. I cannot buy an account on those secret clouds.

sold Ṁ20 of In 2023 YES

@uair01 Thanks, I’d be shocked if a Five Eyes country springs for that anytime soon. What advantages would it offer a government?

On purpose?

bought Ṁ10 of In 2023 NO

@uair01 Why not bet Other? It should be safe to bet NO towards zero if you do not plan add any new options..

@Irigi Can you explain that further? I'm not yet experienced in those technicalities. Using an extensible list was a beginners error.

@uair01 If you hold YES of Other, you get the same amount of YES in any new answer that is later added. So if you do not plan to add any new answers, it makes no sense to buy YES. (The market never resolves Other, I think, but could resolve to new option spawned from it - but not in this market, I take it).

If you buy NO, you normally get payout if the market resolves to something else. If new option is added later, your NO shares in Other are transformed in the same amount of YES in every other option, as it is equivalent. (Again not the case of this market).

@Irigi Thanks! The behaviour of NO is really counterintuitive. I wouldn't have guessed ...

Boosted by 200 M.

Subsidized by 100 M.

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