๐Ÿ† Manifold tournaments

Win real prizes (including cash!) by participating in forecasting tournaments on current events, sports, science, and more.

Fantasy Football Stock Exchange

๐Ÿ† US$2,50048Jan 6
How many points will each NFL player score this season?

CSPI/Salem Forecasting Tournament

๐Ÿ† US$25,000Jul 31
Top 5 traders qualify for a UT Austin research fellowship.
Past tournaments

2022 US Midterm Elections

๐Ÿ† US$500276Nov 8
Forecast the outcome of the 2022 US Midterm Elections.

CCP 20th National Party Congress

๐Ÿ† US$20015Oct 20
Forecast the outcome of the Chinese Communist Party's 20th National Party Congress.

Clearer Thinking Regrant Project

๐Ÿ† US$13,000191Sep 30
Which projects will Clearer Thinking give a grant to?

Cause Exploration Prizes

๐Ÿ† แน€100k32Sep 9
Which new charity ideas will Open Philanthropy find most promising?

Manifold F2P Tournament

๐Ÿ† Poem3Sep 15
Who can amass the most mana starting from a free-to-play (F2P) account?
Featured Groups

Criticism and Red Teaming Contest

12Sep 30
Which criticisms of Effective Altruism have been the most valuable?

SF 2022 Ballot

2Nov 8
Which ballot initiatives will pass this year in SF and CA?

2024 Democratic Nominees

6Nov 2
How would different Democratic candidates fare in 2024?

Private Tech Companies

6Dec 31
What will these companies exit for?

We'd love to sponsor more tournaments and groups. Have an idea? Ping Austin on Discord!