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Arcgis
closes Jan 1, 2024
Will I pass my FAANG onsite tomorrow?
37%
chance

I am interviewing at a tech company tomorrow for full time for a manager/IC position. This resolves to yes if I recieve a job offer from this company resulting from this interview.

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Arcgisis predicting YES at 32%

Dear traders. I don't know what to do the recruiter called me today to say she had heard 'positive signals' but things 'still need to get wrapped up with other candidates' what does this mean? do you mind telling me this is neutral news so i don't get my hopes up?

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneyis predicting YES at 32%

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf I will only provide psychological counseling services if you promise me a percentage of your future earnings in return on the condition that you get the job.

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Arcgisis predicting YES at 35%

@PatrickDelaney see that implicitly leaks your estimate that i might actually get the job

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneyis predicting YES at 35%

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf It does nothing of the sort. (by the way I accept payment in $M)

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneybought Ṁ10 of YES

I'm betting yes so that if you don't get it, you at least get a bit more mana.

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Arcgisis predicting YES at 31%

Post interview updates: There was no coding question, there was a system design question involving developing a client app -- I didn't do well on this because I don't know lots about client. I think I did ok on the ML questions because I remembered important words related to regularization.

ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitzis predicting NO at 29%

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf Bleh, in my experience there's basically zero correlation between how well I think I did at an interview and whether I get an offer, so probably hard to say.

ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitzbought Ṁ95 of NO

Even very good people seem to have a 20-25% odds of getting job offers in normal times, and the market now seems much worse than normal (unless you have some special reason to assume you'll pass, if you're not going through the general pipeline?)

adityaramesh avatar
aditya rameshbought Ṁ30 of NO

what does 'manager/IC position' even mean?

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneyis predicting YES at 32%

@adityaramesh manager / integrated circuit obviously 😂

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Arcgisis predicting YES at 32%

@PatrickDelaney manager individual contributor