Will there be a bountiful harvest??? yes is more than 15, no is 15 or fewer. I am 29. my bmi is 17.
Background Egg freezing success rates vary based on multiple factors, with age being one of the most significant. At age 29, women typically have higher egg yields compared to older age groups. First-time egg freezing cycles for women under 35 typically yield between 12-15 eggs on average, though individual results can vary significantly.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if more than 15 eggs are retrieved during the egg retrieval procedure. It will resolve NO if 15 or fewer eggs are retrieved. If the egg retrieval procedure is cancelled or does not occur for any reason, the market will resolve no
Considerations
Individual response to fertility medications can vary significantly
Factors such as ovarian reserve, BMI, and overall health can impact egg yield
The number of eggs retrieved may differ from the number of follicles observed during monitoring
The final number will be confirmed by the embryologist after the retrieval procedure
1,000
3.00According to these survey results, average retrieved eggs dip below 15 only around 34yo.
unexpectedly, there seems to be very mixed opinion on the effect of bmi:
bmi≥30 -> ~1.1 eggs higher retrieval = 0.23 stddevs (Gibbons 2008)
8 studies show negative effect of obesity, 9 studies show none (Purcell 2011)
no effect of bmi outside 30-38yo (but there were only 3 age brackets). 78 patients<18.5bmi (ignoring age) had ~1.2 more retrieved eggs than the normal weight groups = 0.22 stddevs (Liu 2023)