Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2027?
Basic
8
αΉ€377
2028
16%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Succession_of_power_in_China

https://asiasociety.org/policy-institute/xi-jinpings-succession-dilemma

Elite rebellion is not impossible. Research conducted by Milan Svolik shows that two-thirds of deposed authoritarians fall to inside challengers. Yuhua Wang finds that almost 60% of Chinese emperors who did not exit office by natural death were murdered, deposed, forced to abdicate, or forced to commit suicide by regime elites. A conceivable trigger for Xi would be an economic depression or military misadventure, or if he began purging his closest allies.

/strutheo/will-xi-jinping-be-murdered-deposed

Get
αΉ€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
reposted

almost 60% of Chinese emperors who did not exit office by natural death were murdered, deposed, forced to abdicate, or forced to commit suicide by regime elites

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules