Will Trump beat The Democrat candidate in national polling on 538 at the beginning of September?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ945resolved Sep 6
Resolved
NO1H
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1D
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This market resolves based on the 538 polling average at the beginning of Sept. This market resolves one week into Sept to allow time for the average to have been updated.
If the 538 average as of Sept 8th shows Trump as having been in the lead on Sept 1st, this market resolves YES. In all other scenarios, this market resolves NO.
As of market creation, Trump is ahead by 1 point:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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