This market will resolve to βYesβ if Elon Musk is officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position by June 30, 23:59 PST, 2025, as confirmed by a credible and verifiable source, such as an official government announcement or a major news outlet.
It is not necessary for Musk to accept or serve in the position; the nomination or appointment alone is sufficient for a βYesβ resolution. If no such nomination or appointment is made by the deadline, the market will resolve to βNo.β
1,000
3.00Elon instead going to the "Department of Government Efficiency"
Will the designation of Elon Musk as an "acting" or "performing the duties of" Cabinet officer (see https://ourpublicservice.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/The-Replacements-1.pdf) resolve this market to YES?
@octothorpe I think not. That seems distinct from the resolution criteria, which points at an unambiguous thing: "officially nominated or appointed to a U.S. Cabinet position"
That being said, Musk will not be in the Cabinet.
Trump said: βHe doesnβt want to be in the Cabinet, he just wants to be in charge of cost-cutting. Weβll have a new position, secretary of cost-cutting, Elon wants to do that.β