Will Bugs Bunny enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2036 as planned?
Will Bugs Bunny enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2036 as planned?
4
130Ṁ1522036
87%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Donald Duck enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2030 as planned?
86% chance
Will Betty Boop enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2026 as planned?
94% chance
Will Batman enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2035 as planned?
90% chance
Will Superman enter the public domain on Jan 1st 2034 as planned?
83% chance
Will Warner Bros sell the Looney Tunes IP before 2029?
30% chance
Will The Beatles music enter the public domain in 2058 as anticipated?
75% chance
Will Rabbit, Inc be sold or acquired before Dec 31st 2025
39% chance
Will DC Comics prevent the Fables intellectual property from entering the public domain before August 2026?
31% chance