Will Joe Biden fall again during his first term as President?
Basic
16
922
2025
35%
chance

Same criteria as this market:

https://manifold.markets/ImplyGate/will-joe-biden-be-seen-falling-down?r=UGVhbnV0Q29va2llRmFudGFDaGVlc3lQYQ

Will resolve YES if a real video of Joe Biden falling during his first term as President (Ending on January 20th 2025) is shared on the internet. The fall must be unintentional, and have at least one of his knees OR at least one of his hands touch the ground.

Small trips, slips, and stumbles don't count, for example:

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0469r7dWpZI (Biden looses footing, but does not fall)

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3z3Xhqekb4M (Biden trips, but does not fall. His knees or hands never touch the ground)

Examples that count:

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ctthyYjglw (Biden falling at the Air Force Academy commencement)

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-EahgmNmMsM (Biden falling during a bike ride in Delaware)

- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U5Mwc12LtRY (Biden falling on Air Force One stairs)

Will resolve NO if Biden's term ends prematurely.

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