How many views will Lex Fridman’s podcast with Tucker Carlson receive in 30 days? 🎙️📈
37
816
5.3K
resolved Mar 29
Resolved
YES
>1 million
Resolved
YES
>2 million
Resolved
YES
>5 million
Resolved
YES
>10 million
Resolved
YES
>3 million
Resolved
YES
>4 million
Resolved
YES
>4.5 million
Resolved
YES
>5.5 million
Resolved
YES
>6 million
Resolved
YES
>7 million
Resolved
YES
>8 million
Resolved
YES
>9 million
Resolved
YES
>6.5 million
Resolved
YES
>7.5 million
Resolved
YES
>8.5 million
Resolved
YES
>9.5 million
Resolved
YES
>11 million
Resolved
YES
>10.5 million
Resolved
YES
>11.5 million
Resolved
YES
>10.6 million

Options will resolve YES once the number of views is has been reached. Unreached milestones will resolve NO at market close.

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Final view count: 11,685,472 views

- When will the 30 days mentioned in the question end, exactly?

- If the podcast reaches more views after the closing of this market, will the corresponding options resolve YES, as well?

- In the event that you are not online when the market closes, how will you determine whether a milestone was reached before or after the market closed?

@ML12d1

30 days refers to the market closing date and time. The market will resolve based off of the number of views at market closure.

I am usually up late, after 12, so I probably will be able to check at that time. If that’s not possible, I’ll resolve based on reputable screenshots.

@soweliSon Sounds good. Would something like the following screenshot meet your criteria? Thought I'd best ask before the market closes. :-)

@ML12d1 Yes 👍

@ML12d1 It would be useful to also include a tab with the current time in the screenshot, such as from time.gov

@soweliSon Like this?

@ML12d1 That’s good! 👍

@soweliSon The 11.6 million views mark has been hit, btw. :-)

Hey, just a friendly heads up that we hit the 10 million views mark over a day ago. Could you resolve that one? Thanks a bunch!

Another heads up: 10.5, 10.6 and 10.7 reached over a day ago, 10.8 and 10.9 in the last 24 hours. :-)

3 million can be resolved

@schlongenheim How do you resolve individual outcomes? Can I do that on my bet https://manifold.markets/Snarflak/how-many-states-will-disqualify-don ? I'm afraid to poke at the resolve options and break it.

bought Ṁ10 >4 million NO
bought Ṁ10 >3 million YES

IMO there should be an option for 4 million