Will this market have 200 or more unique predictors?
➕
Plus
56
Ṁ16k
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
NO

The sequel to

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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predictedYES

the end of an era

predictedYES

56/200, not even close.

Damn. I should have held my nerve!

predictedYES

The US is just waking up now let's see if it happens???

Two hours to go...

I feel crazy cashing out my bets when we're less than a quarter of the way there, but I'm still worried about Memestiny's enormous following!

predictedNO

for the old related market of 100, did it fill up in like the last hour or something?

predictedYES

@JohnAdams yeah it was crazy, the last few hours had 90% of the total trades

predictedNO

@seaton So in the other one, when i look at the list for the 100 market.. it doesnt add up to 100. Im guessing accounts were deleted? or am i just not looking at the right place?

predictedYES

@JohnAdams I see 100 unique traders

predictedYES

@JohnAdams unless your talking about positions

predictedNO

@seaton I've been looking at the wrong place all this time.. i was looking at position and not at the part u circled

predictedYES

It's ironic people betting "No" because it makes the chances yes slightly resultion higher.

At this point, if someone really reffers enough new people to this market, betting NO is effectively hedging for all of the markets that are "Will Manifold have X active users by Y"

Hmm... Since @memestiny is top of the referrals leaderboard with over 2,000 referrals and has just entered this market against me, I should probably be a bit worried, shouldn't I?

I thought that @MarcusAbramovitch might have trouble recruiting as many people as last time (since we're still 130 people short) but someone with 2,000 referrals is on another level!

Can I get a clarification on alts on this market? Do they count as unique predictors or no?

predictedYES

@Daltonis it will be incredible hard to check if every account is unique. So they WILL be counted in the final count. However it will be very obvious if we hit or miss the target because I believe that we will have either<50 or >250 with no inbetween.

predictedYES

@Daltonis I am unique, thank you. 👍

predictedYES

big jump. from 100 to 200... lets goo :)

Let's see if the last second rush will happen again!

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