Will this market have 200 or more unique predictors?
56
1.1K
1.1K
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
NO

The sequel to

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ625
2Ṁ121
3Ṁ114
4Ṁ101
5Ṁ91
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predicted YES

the end of an era

predicted YES
bought Ṁ3,000 of NO

56/200, not even close.

bought Ṁ40 of NO

Damn. I should have held my nerve!

predicted YES

The US is just waking up now let's see if it happens???

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Two hours to go...

I feel crazy cashing out my bets when we're less than a quarter of the way there, but I'm still worried about Memestiny's enormous following!

predicted NO

for the old related market of 100, did it fill up in like the last hour or something?

predicted YES

@JohnAdams yeah it was crazy, the last few hours had 90% of the total trades

predicted NO

@seaton So in the other one, when i look at the list for the 100 market.. it doesnt add up to 100. Im guessing accounts were deleted? or am i just not looking at the right place?

predicted YES

@JohnAdams I see 100 unique traders

predicted YES

@JohnAdams unless your talking about positions

predicted NO

@seaton I've been looking at the wrong place all this time.. i was looking at position and not at the part u circled

predicted YES

It's ironic people betting "No" because it makes the chances yes slightly resultion higher.

bought Ṁ40 of NO

At this point, if someone really reffers enough new people to this market, betting NO is effectively hedging for all of the markets that are "Will Manifold have X active users by Y"

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Hmm... Since @memestiny is top of the referrals leaderboard with over 2,000 referrals and has just entered this market against me, I should probably be a bit worried, shouldn't I?

I thought that @MarcusAbramovitch might have trouble recruiting as many people as last time (since we're still 130 people short) but someone with 2,000 referrals is on another level!

Can I get a clarification on alts on this market? Do they count as unique predictors or no?

predicted YES

@Daltonis it will be incredible hard to check if every account is unique. So they WILL be counted in the final count. However it will be very obvious if we hit or miss the target because I believe that we will have either<50 or >250 with no inbetween.

predicted YES

@Daltonis I am unique, thank you. 👍

predicted YES

big jump. from 100 to 200... lets goo :)

Let's see if the last second rush will happen again!