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#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ578
2		Ṁ344
3		Ṁ312
4		Ṁ272
5		Ṁ250

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Will OpenAI release a model named GPT 5.3 by the end of February?

84% chance

Will OpenAI release a new GPT-5 model before March 31, 2026?

98% chance

Will OpenAI announce a new GPT-5-level model before 1 July 2026?

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@creator this can resolve NO, thanks

sold Ṁ321 NO

https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/24/24278999/openai-plans-orion-ai-model-release-december

o1 does NOT count as GPT5, given that they are going to continue the GPT series alongside the "o" series

Excited for the extremely hilarious scenario where what should be called 5 is labeled 4.5 to freak people out less, and then this market resolved NO when it should resolve YES

@DaveK i won’t, but feel free to make a derivative market on exactly that!

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Will OpenAI release a model named GPT 5.3 by the end of February?

+9% 1d84% chance

Will OpenAI release a new GPT-5 model before March 31, 2026?

+11% 1d98% chance

Will OpenAI announce a new GPT-5-level model before 1 July 2026?

+5% 1d95% chance

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