Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?
50
384
1k
2025
69%
chance

credit LW community survey.

"Release" means that a random member of the public can use it, possibly paid.

EDIT: i won’t bet in this market.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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Excited for the extremely hilarious scenario where what should be called 5 is labeled 4.5 to freak people out less, and then this market resolved NO when it should resolve YES

@DaveK i won’t, but feel free to make a derivative market on exactly that!