Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?

85

1kṀ15k

resolved Jan 16

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

credit LW community survey.

"Release" means that a random member of the public can use it, possibly paid.

EDIT: i won’t bet in this market.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ344
2		Ṁ312
3		Ṁ272
4		Ṁ250
5		Ṁ227

Sort by:

@creator this can resolve NO, thanks

sold Ṁ321 NO

https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/24/24278999/openai-plans-orion-ai-model-release-december

o1 does NOT count as GPT5, given that they are going to continue the GPT series alongside the "o" series

Related market: https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025

Excited for the extremely hilarious scenario where what should be called 5 is labeled 4.5 to freak people out less, and then this market resolved NO when it should resolve YES

@DaveK i won’t, but feel free to make a derivative market on exactly that!

Related questions

Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?

By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?

Will OpenAI Publicly Release GPT-5 on or before 1st Jan 2026?

Related questions

Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?

Will OpenAI Publicly Release GPT-5 on or before 1st Jan 2026?

By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules