Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?
AI•OpenAI
50
373
Ṁ950
2025
69%
chance

credit LW community survey.

"Release" means that a random member of the public can use it, possibly paid.

EDIT: i won’t bet in this market.

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Related market: https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025

Excited for the extremely hilarious scenario where what should be called 5 is labeled 4.5 to freak people out less, and then this market resolved NO when it should resolve YES

@DaveK i won’t, but feel free to make a derivative market on exactly that!

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