Will Elon Musk buy Intel (INTC) stock before the end of 2025?
6
1kṀ1893
Dec 31
37%
chance

This market predicts whether Elon Musk personally or any of his companies (Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, etc.) will acquire at least 5% of Intel's outstanding shares before the end of 2025.

Context:

  • Intel's current market cap is approximately $175 billion as of October 2025

  • Intel stock has surged recently, up about 50% over the past month

  • The U.S. government took a 10% stake in Intel in August 2025

  • Nvidia recently invested $5 billion in Intel (approximately 4% stake)

  • Musk has been raising significant capital for xAI, with recent valuations around $200 billion

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to YES if SEC filings or official company announcements confirm that Elon Musk or any company where he is a controlling shareholder (Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, etc.) acquires 5% or more of Intel's outstanding shares before December 31, 2025. Such acquisitions would be disclosed in SEC Form 13D or 13G filings, which are required when an entity acquires more than 5% of a public company. Resolution will be based on filings available at https://www.sec.gov/edgar or official announcements from Intel (https://www.intc.com/news-events) or Musk's companies.

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