Will OpenAI admit that the new Bing Chat AI (a.k.a Sydney) is a version of GPT-4?

Ṁ12K

Ṁ810

resolved Mar 18

Resolved

YES

ALL

Close date updated to 2023-06-30 12:59 am

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024?

Milan W

90% chance

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end? (8000M subsidy)

firstuserhere

27% chance

Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1 Jan 2024?

cshunter

Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?

notarealuser

90% chance

Will https://openai.com post another page refering to a change in leadership in some way by the end of November 2023?

firstuserhere

17% chance

Will OpenAI report an incident on November 28 2023?

mr_mino

93% chance

Will grok AI be available for general use in November 2023?

Erik Williams

17% chance

In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?

Jonas Vollmer

35% chance

Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI by January 1, 2024?

Carter Hinsley

88% chance

Who will still be working at OpenAI on December 1, 2023? [independent, YES/NO on each]

Ernie

Will at least one OpenAI employee say this week that they have seen Sam Altman in the office doing things?

ClubmasterTransparent

70% chance

Will OpenAI's next-gen math-focused model score at least 95% on the MATH benchmark?

CuriousNoob

50% chance

Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?

Andrew Bocz

90% chance

Will OpenAI be valued more than $75 billion before the end of 2023?

Samuel

77% chance

Who will be the next permanent CEO of OpenAI?

Eli Lifland

Will the OpenAI board release a report documenting the reasons or evidence for why they fired Sam Altman, by Christmas?

firstuserhere

10% chance

Will Google Search include a chatbot at end of 2023?

Rai

9% chance

9) DeepMind, Google Brain, and/or OpenAI will undertake efforts to build a foundation model for robotics.

Matt C. Wilson

93% chance

Will the Base Reality interim shrine to OpenAI interim CEO Emmett Shear stay up for more than 2 weeks?

Peter Barnett

46% chance

Will Ilya Sutskever continue at OpenAI til end 2023?

Ernie

90% chance

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	rocket	Ṁ215
2	rockenots	Ṁ197
3	mkualquiera	Ṁ168
4	Adrian	Ṁ143
5	S G	Ṁ93

9 Comments

28 Positions

91 Trades

Sort by:

firstuserherebought Ṁ100 of YES

"We are happy to confirm that the new Bing is running on GPT-4, If you’ve used the new Bing in preview at any time in the last six weeks, you’ve already had an early look at the power of OpenAI’s latest model."

rocketbought Ṁ166 of YES

@firstuserhere could you link the source please?

firstuserherepredicted YES

@rocketsan https://blogs.bing.com/search/march_2023/Confirmed-the-new-Bing-runs-on-OpenAI%E2%80%99s-GPT-4

rocketpredicted YES

@firstuserhere Thank you. I think if OA doesn't deny this statement, the market should be resolved yes. I will wait until Saturday.

Jim Hayspredicted NO

If it wasn’t initially, but they change the underlying model then announce that it is now GPT-4 how does this resolve?

rocket

@JimHays In that case, I would resolve NO.

Isaac King

Here's a market about what it actually is rather than just what OpenAI admits:

blake

Isn't the point of GPT 4 supposed to be that there will be photos and audio generated as well?

milcaunicornbought Ṁ10 of NO

@blake Well it looks like gpt-3 would be the end of the line for now until there is breakthrough in ML. This is what Open AI has openly said since the release of gpt-3, not directly, but indirectly.