Will Mr. Girl mention Manifold Markets in his manifesto?

resolved Mar 29

Resolved

YES

ALL

This poll resolves YES if Mr. Girl mentions Destiny's community's use of Manifold Markets, or Manifold markets in general within his destiny abuse manifesto. Mr. Girl does NOT need to bring up Manifold Markets by name, just mentioning the concept of an "orbiter stock market" or other such statements would be satisfactory.

If no such mention is made in the manifesto, this poll resolves NO.

If no manifesto is ever released in the next year, this poll resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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15% chance

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S G

POLL

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Punished Furry	Ṁ615
2	johnleoks	Ṁ537
3	Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot	Ṁ295
4	Len_Tils	Ṁ243
5	Michael Wheatley	Ṁ186

Sort by:

resolving yes on Creator's behalf as they deleted their account

johnleokspredicted YES

This can resolve YES.

Samin sold Ṁ103 YES at 99.1%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ502 YES from 99.2% to 99.1%

Aussie Dan bought Ṁ100 YES from 99.1% to 99.2%

Bjorn bought Ṁ10 YES at 99.1%

Damian Johnson sold Ṁ34 NO from 98.7% to 99.1%

Jonathan Mast bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98.4% to 98.7%

Jonathan Mast sold Ṁ1 NO at 98.4%

Damian Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.6% to 98.4%

Damian Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.7% to 98.6%

Damian Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 98.9% to 98.7%

Damian Johnson bought Ṁ10 NO from 99.0% to 98.9%

Humble Farmer sold Ṁ2 NO at 99.0%

TheColdTurtle bought Ṁ10 YES at 99.0%

Chief Kyiv sold Ṁ0 NO at 99.0%

Sir Squax sold Ṁ4 NO from 98.9% to 99.0%

PersonMan sold Ṁ17 NO from 98.6% to 98.9%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ250 YES at 98.6%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ250 YES from 98.5% to 98.6%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98.5%

Michael Wheatley bought Ṁ5,000 YES from 92% to 98.5%

Alex Kelly bought Ṁ100 YES from 91% to 92%

anne bought Ṁ150 YES from 90% to 91%

Bobby Doon sold Ṁ3 NO at 90%

johnleoks bought Ṁ200 YES from 89% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 89%

johnleoks bought Ṁ500 YES from 83% to 88%

johnleoks bought Ṁ500 YES from 74% to 83%

Humble Farmer bought Ṁ15 NO from 75% to 74%

DwemerPrince bought Ṁ150 YES from 71% to 75%

Bobby Doon bought Ṁ10 NO from 72% to 71%

JDZ bought Ṁ50 YES from 70% to 72%

Zion bought Ṁ50 NO at 70%

PersonMan bought Ṁ100 NO from 74% to 70%

Mikael Köhlmyr bought Ṁ30 YES from 73% to 74%

Humble Farmer bought Ṁ20 NO from 75% to 73%

PersonMan bought Ṁ60 NO from 79% to 75%

Len_Tils bought Ṁ246 YES from 74% to 79%

Tesseract bought Ṁ10 NO from 75% to 74%

Mikael Köhlmyr bought Ṁ30 YES from 74% to 75%

Len_Tils bought Ṁ100 YES from 71% to 74%

robertlxe bought Ṁ20 YES from 70% to 71%

johnleoks filled limit order Ṁ651/Ṁ1,000 YES at 70%

L Spam bought Ṁ20 YES from 61% to 62%

PersonMan bought Ṁ25 NO from 63% to 61%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ100 NO at 63% (cancelled)

Tsundraki bought Ṁ100 YES from 61% to 66%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ26/Ṁ100 YES at 61% (cancelled)

Punished Furry bought Ṁ30 YES from 58% to 60%

Related questions

Will there be at least 5 "markets" on Manifold advertising escorts or call girls in September?

Bohaska

76% chance

I'm a new user. Will I still be using Manifold.markets in 1 month (October 19th)

C.Doug

50% chance

Will Manifold restore in-site notifications for new markets created by people you follow by end of October?

Conflux

60% chance

[Experimental] What fraction of their net worth do Manifold users have in their balance?

Fion

65% chance

Will Manifold's policy about NSFW markets differ from NightCafe one?

An Ting

80% chance

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61% chance

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jskf

35% chance

Will CGP Grey make a video involving Manifold markets?

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30% chance

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An Ting

29% chance

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Odoacre

19% chance

Will Manifold create a rule against trading mana for bets?

Carson Gale

36% chance

Will Manifold beat the market in Q4? (equal weights)

Genzy

47% chance

Do I work for Manifold Markets?

Levi Finkelstein [BANNED]

15% chance

Will SBF embed a Manifold Market in one of his upcoming Substack posts?

Brian T. Edwards

20% chance

Will manifold implement a "continuous" market?

Calvinball

20% chance

Will Manifold Dollars become cheaper to buy in bigger quantities?

Nostradamnedus

17% chance

Will there be a significant update to the way Manifold markets work for more users with large budgets?

Thomas M

14% chance

Will manifold automatically add an AI response to new markets on creation?

Odoacre

23% chance

Will a Manifold user break the TOS of another website in order to resolve a market?

Benjamin Ikuta

62% chance

Should Manifold ban users from trading on their own markets?

S G

POLL