Manifold introduced a donation cap for 2024 charitable donations. https://manifold.markets/charity
I'd like to know if users will donate enough to reach the limit in each time period through the year.
I'd also like to raise awareness and give a reminder to check donations monthly, not just at the end of this year.
Notes (may be updated):
I don't currently have a data source for resolution. I assume manifold will publish something. If a good source can't be found, I will resolve N/A.
I have a bounty market open for a resolution source, please answer or contribute: https://manifold.markets/robm/manifold-charity-contributions-by-m?r=cm9ibQ
I will add options for april-december if this market gets popular
I'm most interested in whether we max the charity contributions or not. If Manifold changes the cap, allows rollovers between months, or in other ambiguous cases, I'm likely to resolve YES if it seems like no potential charity dollars have been lost to the cap, but I'll also check in with the comments.