Manifold introduced a donation cap for 2024 charitable donations. https://manifold.markets/charity
I'd like to know if users will donate enough to reach the limit in each time period through the year.
I'd also like to raise awareness and give a reminder to check donations monthly, not just at the end of this year.
Notes (may be updated):
I don't currently have a data source for resolution. I assume manifold will publish something. If a good source can't be found, I will resolve N/A.
I have a bounty market open for a resolution source, please answer or contribute: https://manifold.markets/robm/manifold-charity-contributions-by-m?r=cm9ibQ
I will add options for april-december if this market gets popular
I'm most interested in whether we max the charity contributions or not. If Manifold changes the cap, allows rollovers between months, or in other ambiguous cases, I'm likely to resolve YES if it seems like no potential charity dollars have been lost to the cap, but I'll also check in with the comments.
1,000
3.00@robm Way more than $10k was donated in April but they removed the cap. Not sure how April should resolve then.
If Manifold changes the cap, allows rollovers between months, or in other ambiguous cases, I'm likely to resolve YES if it seems like no potential charity dollars have been lost to the cap
I decided to resolve YES for April. We didn't lose any potential charity dollars, and it was over $10,000. I definitely wasn't expecting anything as big as the pivot when I created this market.
Not going to open any more months, since there is no more cap.
I hope people keep donating big once we get some prize points!