Will the word “superconductor” appear on the homepage of bbc.com between July 30 and August 6 (inclusive)
250
2kṀ34k
resolved Aug 7
Resolved
NO

Will the word "superconductor" appear on bbc.com between now and the end of August 6 (UTC).

Superconductors would be accepted, superconducting or other variants not.

If unable to be verified on the live site, will be verified using the internet archive.

EDIT: To clarify, if before the deadline I can load bbc.com on chrome desktop and CTRL-F “superconductor” and I get a result then this resolves yes, i.e the word should appear as text (not in a hyperlink or image alt text for example)

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predictedNO

It’s now August 7 (UTC). I’ve done a CTRL-F for superconductor on bbc.com and get no results. In addition I’ve googled site:bbc.com for superconductor and there are no results for the past month, so between that and my double daily checking over the last week I think it’s very unlikely. So I will resolve this NO.

predictedYES

Looking like a nearly definite "No." Considering the race to replicate has been one of the most entertaining and maddening news events I can remember, it makes me wonder what other enthralling human dramas get ignored by major news sources.

predictedNO

@Placebomancer oh they for sure do. Diversify your news sources for one, and independence journalism! (Not in the conspiracy theory way, in the "news is only a limited worldview way" 😁)

predictedNO

Will this market resolve by tomorrow?

predictedYES

I searched “conductor” on bbc.com and there was a hit. Got super excited until I read “semiconductor”

predictedNO

The chance of replication tripling today while this question drops is somewhat surprising to me

predictedNO

@ArunJohnson Well, if the replication happens before august 5, the chance of this market is much higher, but not many people think it will happen before then.

If you search "superconductor" right now, almost all the outlets reporting it are science websites, and not big mainstream publications. Probably because those publications mostly want to get clicks, and not enough people understand what it is the implications of it to click. There's also the fact that it's still disputed that it was actually produced.

Edit: It just got an NYT article. Still think the chances of BBC are lower.

predictedNO

Also, are you doing this test every day? Can you post the results here?

predictedNO

@FelixHoornaert I’m checking sporadically, but at least twice daily. If someone else sees positive proof I can verify using the wayback machine (which is snapshotting every 15 mins or so)

predictedNO

If before the deadline I can load bbc.com on chrome desktop and CTRL-F “superconductor” and I get a result then this resolves yes, i.e the word should appear as text (not in a hyperlink or image alt text for example)

predictedNO

@rmnz thanks for that clarification. Can you add it in the description?

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